时间:2025-09-16 15:12:43 来源:网络整理编辑:知識
Nate Silver is not some kind of election-predicting machine, people. He's a human being. And he's ha
Nate Silver is not some kind of election-predicting machine, people. He's a human being. And he's had it up to here with you questioning his methods.
The Huffington Postran a story called "Nate Silver Is Unskewing Polls — All Of Them — In Trump’s Direction" on Saturday, written by Ryan Grim, the publication's D.C. bureau chief.
SEE ALSO:Why it's completely legal to trade votes across state linesGrim accuses Silver of "making a mockery of the very forecasting industry that he popularized."
How so? By "changing the results of polls to fit where he thinks the polls truly are, rather than simply entering the poll numbers into his model and crunching them."
Currently, Silver's FiveThirtyEightgives Hillary Clinton a 64.5 percent chance of winning the election, while HuffPost Pollster is giving her a 98 percent chance of winning.
In the past presidential election, Silver was stunningly accurate, correctly predicting the winner in 50 states. During the Republican primaries, however, he admitted that he "acted like a pundit and screwed up on Donald Trump."
He stood by his most recent predictions and didn't take Grim's attack lightly.
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
Tweet may have been deleted
Grim defended himself ...
Tweet may have been deleted
... but Silver wasn't having any of it.
Tweet may have been deleted
Welcome to the 2016 presidential election, America, where even the discourse surrounding polling data is ugly.
TopicsElections
Pokémon Go is so big that it has its own VR porn parody now2025-09-16 14:37
日韓周報:黃喜燦首秀破門 吉田麻也進球力助桑普2025-09-16 14:26
U17女足最新集訓名單共36人入選 還將參加女甲聯賽2025-09-16 14:21
水慶霞:上任聯合隊主帥心跳加快 通過全運展示女足形象2025-09-16 14:08
Major earthquake and multiple aftershocks rock central Italy2025-09-16 14:01
國足開始恢複訓練一天兩練成常態 重點提升全隊體能2025-09-16 13:09
女足奧運隊成全運奪冠熱門 水慶霞若帶隊出色不排除轉正2025-09-16 13:04
U17女足最新集訓名單共36人入選 還將參加女甲聯賽2025-09-16 13:02
Make money or go to Stanford? Katie Ledecky is left with an unfair choice.2025-09-16 12:42
曼聯歐冠首發 :C羅領銜鋒線 B費博格巴鎮守中場2025-09-16 12:34
Here's what 'Game of Thrones' actors get up to between takes2025-09-16 14:38
西甲主席 :皇馬靠賣人獲2億歐 有錢買姆巴佩哈蘭德2025-09-16 14:21
內維爾:C羅是曆史最佳 卡拉格 :梅西所為C羅難及2025-09-16 14:00
中國足協已與多支球隊聯係 推動國足熱身賽計劃2025-09-16 13:57
5 people Tim Cook calls for advice on running the biggest company in the world2025-09-16 13:52
巴薩再受辱 !全場0射正 歐冠主場三連敗淨負9球2025-09-16 13:42
135球!C羅連續16個賽季歐冠破門 一數據追平梅西2025-09-16 13:15
15日賠率 :利物浦主場小勝米蘭 皇馬客戰國米不敗2025-09-16 13:04
Sound the alarms: Simone Biles finally met Zac Efron2025-09-16 12:49
曼聯官推鼓勵林加德:一起贏一起輸 抬起頭來 !2025-09-16 12:46