时间:2025-01-18 12:03:07 来源:网络整理编辑:焦點
Post-Tropical Storm Hermine is poised to deliver the Mid-Atlantic states a fierce blow, with days of
Post-Tropical Storm Hermine is poised to deliver the Mid-Atlantic states a fierce blow, with days of strong winds, pounding waves and storm surge-related coastal flooding.
Yet while the path of Hermine and height of its surge gets most of the attention, there's a hidden, human-caused and long-term factor at work here too: Sea level rise is making all coastal flooding events in the Mid-Atlantic region more frequent and worse.
Globally, sea levels are rising at the fastest rate of any time in at least the past 2,800 years, according to a study published in February. This is due to warming ocean waters, which cause the sea to expand, and the melting of polar ice caps.
SEE ALSO:A lengthening crack is threatening to cause an Antarctic ice shelf to collapseThe Mid-Atlantic happens to be located in a so-called sea level rise "hotspot," meaning that seas are rising faster there -- and are predicted to continue doing so -- than they are in other parts of the U.S., and indeed other areas of the globe.
The hotspot is due to a combination of things which include land subsidence, involving the slow settling of land over time, as well as ocean currents like the Gulf Stream.
Two trailers sit overturned in the creek behind the Hatteras Sands Campground in Hatteras, N.C., Saturday, Sept. 3, 2016.Credit: APTom Copeland/APThe end result is a sharp uptick in "nuisance" coastal flooding events, which often take place even on sunny days, from Virginia to Massachusetts. The hotspot also boosts the flood potential from major storms, including Hermine.
For example, a report published in February from the nonprofit research and journalism group Climate Central found a startling increase in nuisance flooding events in recent decades.
For the Climate Central analysis, researchers took hourly water level records from 27 different tide gauges at U.S. coastal locations, and removed the human-caused component in global sea level from them.
This resulted in a history of what water levels should have been absent any global warming-related sea level rise.
The group found that out of 8,726 days when unaltered water level observations exceeded National Weather Service local “nuisance” flood thresholds for minor impacts, such as flooding of coastal roads, 5,809 days would not have exceeded those thresholds if the global warming component of sea level rise were removed.
In other words, about two-thirds of the 8,726 total flood days identified in the report could be said to be human-caused due to climate change.
In other words, about two-thirds of the 8,726 total flood days identified in the report could be said to be human-caused due to climate change
For example, in Annapolis, Maryland, the study found that the number of nuisance flood days have increased from 193 to 701 days between the first half of the 1951 to 2014 period and the second half.
That works out to an increase of 508 nuisance flood days. The study found that about 394, or nearly 78 percent, of these flood days would not have occurred if it weren't for global warming-related sea level rise.
While that nuisance flooding is increasing, major storms are hitting that ordinarily would be damaging, but in the new era of higher sea levels can be even more deadly.
This is where Hermine comes in.
The National Hurricane Center warned Saturday that Post-Tropical Storm Hermine could bring "life-threatening" storm surge inundation (meaning water on top of land that would normally be dry ground at the time of high tide) that could reach a maximum of 3 to 5 feet from Chincoteague, Virginia to Sandy Hook, New Jersey. This includes the entirety of the Delaware, Maryland and New Jersey coastlines.
The agency is also forecasting at least 2 to 4 feet of inundation from Sandy Hook north to Bridgeport, Connecticut, including the New York City metro area.
Storm surge is caused by a storm's low pressure and strong winds that pile water toward the coastline, causing water levels to rise, usually reaching a peak around the time of high tide.
Storm surge in Lower Manhattan from Hurricane Sandy, showing portion attributable to climate change.Credit: NCARDue to sea level rise, this storm surge is riding atop a higher background level of water, meaning that it is easier to flood the coastline today than it was before human-caused sea level rise became so apparent.
Some sea level rise experts compare this factor to a basketball player being able to make more dunks when he or she jumps from a rising basketball court.
When Hurricane Sandy hit in 2012, for example, the sea level at the Battery in lower Manhattan was about 11 inches higher than it was in 1900, which meant that the total inundation from the storm was worse than it would have been had the storm hit a century earlier.
The same will be true for Hermine, and every other storm to come, as the floor that storm surge's are riding on top of continues to rise.
This weird squid looks like it has googly eyes, guys2025-01-18 11:38
內維爾:皇馬是頭危險野獸 伯納烏將演丁丁曆險記2025-01-18 11:26
國安新援達布羅即將抵達中國 在成都落地隔離2025-01-18 11:20
哈弗茨捏人:梅西內馬爾+C羅 大腦我用德布勞內的2025-01-18 11:15
Pokémon Go is so big that it has its own VR porn parody now2025-01-18 10:45
內維爾 :皇馬是頭危險野獸 伯納烏將演丁丁曆險記2025-01-18 10:34
34輪聯賽能踢完?中超最早五月底開賽 賽區賽程尚存變數2025-01-18 10:28
銳體育 :一人15分鍾改變利物浦運轉 天坑門將這次竟是對手2025-01-18 10:26
One of the most controversial power struggles in media comes to a close2025-01-18 10:18
亞洲杯官方為劉愛玲慶生:20世紀女足最佳陣容唯一中國球員2025-01-18 09:25
Darth Vader is back. Why do we still care?2025-01-18 12:01
林加德告別戰沒機會登場 朗尼克:他缺席多次訓練2025-01-18 11:59
官方:韓國將在6月與巴西、智利 、巴拉圭踢熱身賽2025-01-18 11:32
廣州隊新賽季號碼:蔣光太2號韋世豪7號 92025-01-18 11:16
Sound the alarms: Simone Biles finally met Zac Efron2025-01-18 11:15
泰山新外援克雷桑曬登機照片 6外援配置麵臨選擇難題2025-01-18 10:21
粵媒 :重用年輕球員 廣州隊新賽季首要任務是保級2025-01-18 10:10
薩拉赫 :更衣室凸顯利物浦個性 決賽我要踢皇馬!2025-01-18 09:57
Airbnb activates disaster response site for Louisiana flooding2025-01-18 09:35
媒體人 :鄭智不留廣州隊早有預兆 李霄鵬有意退出國家隊2025-01-18 09:21